Political Forecasting Unit – UK Election Forecast – 20 April 2015

vote on boardAt the start of a new week, Professor Leighton Vaughan Williams, director of the Political Forecasting Unit (PFU) at Nottingham Business School, gives the PFU’s official forecast of the election result. The prediction is based on a weighted combination of a range of variables, including adjusted polling analysis and a number of market-based predictors.

Mon 20 April
Conservative (inc. Speaker) 283
Labour 271
SNP 45
Lib Dem 25
UKIP 3
Green 1
Plaid Cymru 3
DUP 9
Sinn Fein 5
SDLP 3
Others 2
Total 650

Leighton – who is also director of the Betting Research Unit at Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University – is an experienced media commentator and has a long record of successfully forecasting the outcome of national and international elections and referendum outcomes; including the UK General Election in 2010 and the US Presidential Election in 2012.

Professor Leighton Vaughan WilliamsFollow @leightonvw
Visit Professor Leighton Vaughan Williams’ website
Read about the Political Forecasting Unit
Read about Professor Leighton Vaughan Williams

 

To speak to Leighton, please contact the Nottingham Trent University Press Office on tel: +44 (0)115 848 8751 or via email: helen.breese@ntu.ac.uk

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