Political Forecasting Unit – UK Election Forecast – 14 April 2015

Professor Leighton Vaughan WilliamsProfessor Leighton Vaughan Williams, director of the Political Forecasting Unit (PFU) at Nottingham Business School, will be giving the PFU’s official forecast of the election result at least once every day up to and including Election Day, May 7.

The 2015 UK Election Forecast uses a weighted combination of a range of variables, including adjusted polling analysis and a number of market-based predictors.

Tuesday, April 14, 10am:

Conservative 283 (inc. Speaker)

Labour 275

SNP 42

Lib Dem 25

UKIP 3

Green 1

Plaid Cymru 3

DUP 9

Sinn Fein 5

SDLP 3

Independent 1

Total = 650

The 2015 UK Election Forecast uses a weighted combination of a range of variables, including adjusted polling analysis and a number of market-based predictors.

Leighton – who is also director of the Betting Research Unit at Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University – is an experienced media commentator and has a long record of successfully forecasting the outcome of national and international elections and referendum outcomes; including the UK General Election in 2010 and the US Presidential Election in 2012.

Follow @leightonvw
Visit Professor Leighton Vaughan Williams’ website
Read about the Political Forecasting Unit
Read about Professor Leighton Vaughan Williams

To speak to Leighton, please contact the Nottingham Trent University Press Office on tel: +44 (0)115 848 8751 or via email: helen.breese@ntu.ac.uk

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s